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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.17%) and 2-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
29.56% ( 0.22) | 20.5% ( -0.01) | 49.94% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 71.95% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.18) | 26.08% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.67% ( 0.23) | 46.32% ( -0.23) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.21) | 18.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.52% ( 0.34) | 50.47% ( -0.34) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% ( 0.01) | 11.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.22% ( 0.01) | 35.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 49.94% |
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