SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 57.66%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
57.66% ( 0.04) | 19.42% ( -0.03) | 22.91% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.09% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.96% ( 0.14) | 27.03% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.17) | 47.53% ( -0.17) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( 0.05) | 9.57% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.98% ( 0.12) | 32.02% ( -0.12) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.07) | 23.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.1) | 57.67% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 4.16% Total : 57.66% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.42% | 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.91% |
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