SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 60.67%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.37% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.2%) and 2-3 (5.53%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
21.37% ( 0.04) | 17.97% ( 0.01) | 60.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 72.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.01) | 21.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.42% ( 0.01) | 40.58% ( -0.01) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.03) | 21.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( 0.05) | 54.6% ( -0.05) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.64% ( -0.01) | 7.36% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.43% ( -0.02) | 26.57% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.37% | 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.35% 3-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 5.53% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0)2-4 @ 3.61% 0-4 @ 3.06% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.88% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.07% ( -0)3-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 4.25% Total : 60.67% |
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