SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
44.89% ( 0.01) | 22.19% ( -0.03) | 32.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.33% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.19% ( 0.18) | 32.81% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0.2) | 54.51% ( -0.21) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( 0.07) | 15.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( 0.13) | 44.06% ( -0.13) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.1) | 20.49% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( 0.16) | 52.98% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.93% |
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