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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
30.15% ( 0.11) | 22.45% ( 0.03) | 47.4% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 64.81% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.06) | 35.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.46% ( -0.07) | 57.54% ( 0.07) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.04) | 23.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.69% ( 0.05) | 57.31% ( -0.05) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.56% ( -0.07) | 15.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.71% ( -0.13) | 44.3% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 30.15% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.4% |
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