SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
53.27% ( -0.15) | 20.35% ( 0) | 26.37% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 69.68% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.11) | 27.91% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0.14) | 48.63% ( -0.14) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.05% ( -0) | 10.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.84% ( -0) | 35.16% ( 0) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( 0.15) | 21.75% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% ( 0.23) | 54.93% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.27% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.37% |
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