SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
43.76% ( -0) | 22.58% ( 0.01) | 33.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 66.13% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.51% ( -0.08) | 34.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.08) | 56.41% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.03) | 16.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( -0.06) | 46.04% ( 0.06) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( -0.04) | 20.9% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( -0.06) | 53.61% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 33.67% |
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