SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
46.89% ( -0.2) | 20.04% ( 0.05) | 33.07% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 75.88% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.19) | 21.89% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.25% ( -0.26) | 40.74% ( 0.26) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( -0.13) | 10.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( -0.28) | 34.24% ( 0.28) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.03) | 15.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.2% ( -0.05) | 43.8% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.75% Total : 46.89% | 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.04% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.87% Total : 33.07% |
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