SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Crewe Alexandra | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Mansfield Town | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Walsall | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 72.22%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 11.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
72.22% ( -0.07) | 16.31% ( 0.01) | 11.47% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.93% ( 0.13) | 34.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.14) | 55.94% ( -0.14) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.76% ( 0.02) | 8.23% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.2% ( 0.04) | 28.8% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( 0.19) | 40.72% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( 0.17) | 77.31% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.22% | 1-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.31% | 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.47% |
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