SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 58.36%. A win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
20.88% ( 0.43) | 20.76% ( 0.39) | 58.36% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.62% ( -1.29) | 36.37% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.49% ( -1.42) | 58.51% ( 1.42) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.35) | 30.67% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.08% ( -0.42) | 66.91% ( 0.42) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.71% ( -0.63) | 12.29% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.95% ( -1.34) | 38.05% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 20.88% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.21% Total : 58.36% |
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