SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.25%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
40.12% ( 0.44) | 22.16% ( 0.08) | 37.73% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 68.71% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.51% ( -0.42) | 31.49% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.04% ( -0.5) | 52.96% ( 0.51) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( 0.01) | 16.6% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.58% ( 0) | 46.42% ( 0.01) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.4) | 17.61% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.81% ( -0.71) | 48.19% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.73% |
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