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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
52.1% ( -0.1) | 21.61% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.76% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.04) | 34.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.85% ( -0.04) | 56.14% ( 0.04) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( -0.04) | 13.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.59% ( -0.09) | 40.4% ( 0.08) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.03) | 25.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.04) | 59.92% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 26.29% |
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