SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.69%) and 2-3 (5.34%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
25.73% ( -0.18) | 19.54% ( -0.01) | 54.72% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 72.2% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.52% ( -0.1) | 24.48% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.13) | 44.23% ( 0.14) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.16) | 20.26% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -0.26) | 52.6% ( 0.27) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% ( 0.02) | 9.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.24% ( 0.03) | 31.76% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.41% Total : 54.72% |
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