SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.31%) and 3-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
43.5% ( -0.53) | 20.19% ( 0.08) | 36.3% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 76.42% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.29) | 21.61% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.4) | 40.35% ( 0.4) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0.27) | 11.38% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.88% ( -0.59) | 36.11% ( 0.59) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 0.03) | 13.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.94% ( 0.07) | 41.06% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.2% Total : 43.5% | 2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.2% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.89% Total : 36.3% |
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