SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (4.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
36.32% ( -0.22) | 20.94% | 42.73% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 73.4% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.04) | 25.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0.06) | 45.44% ( 0.05) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.51% ( -0.11) | 15.49% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.62% ( -0.21) | 44.38% ( 0.2) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( 0.05) | 13.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( 0.11) | 39.82% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 3.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 42.73% |
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