Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 37.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.