Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.