Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
