Villa U23s
3 - 4
Stoke U23s

Kesler (8'), Ramsey (26', 65')
Raikhy (45+7')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Macarai (31'), James-Taylor (42', 45+4'), Wright-Phillips (43')
Nna Noukeu (6'), Varian (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-23s and Stoke City Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.57%) and 0-2 (4.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-23s	Draw	Stoke City Under-23s
37.52%	22.45%	40.03%

Both teams to score 67.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.98%

33.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.26%

54.74%

Aston Villa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5%

49.49%

Stoke City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72%

17.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38%

47.62%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-23s 37.52%

Stoke City Under-23s 40.03%

Draw 22.45%

Aston Villa Under-23s	Draw	Stoke City Under-23s
2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-2 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.52%	1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 8.29% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.25% Total : 40.03%