Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.23%) and 0-1 (4.86%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.