Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.