Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley Under-23s in this match.