Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
