SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 45.57% | 22.94% | 31.49% |
| Both teams to score 63.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% | 37.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% | 59.38% |
| Burnley Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% | 16.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% | 23.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.64% | 57.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley Under-23s | Draw | Stoke City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.35% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.49% |
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