Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.