Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 72.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for an Aston Villa Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.