Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.65%) and 1-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
