SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.65%) and 1-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 45.95% | 21.83% | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 68.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.25% | 52.75% |
| Aston Villa Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% | 14.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.75% | 42.24% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.85% | 20.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.58% | 52.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 5.65% 1-0 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-3 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.59% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 9% 2-2 @ 6.99% 0-0 @ 2.89% 3-3 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.5% 3-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.22% |
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