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Wednesday, December 25
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Premier League 2 - Div 2 | Gameweek 11
Jan 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Villa Park

Villa U23s
1 - 2
Boro U23s

Thorndike (82')
Raikhy (9'), Barry (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kavanagh (21' pen., 66')
Gitau (84'), Malley (86')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-23s and Middlesbrough Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.65%) and 1-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Under-23sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-23s
45.95%21.83%32.22%
Both teams to score 68.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.25%52.75%
Aston Villa Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63%14.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75%42.24%
Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-23s 45.95%
    Middlesbrough Under-23s 32.22%
    Draw 21.83%
Aston Villa Under-23sDrawMiddlesbrough Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 5.65%
1-0 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-3 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 9%
2-2 @ 6.99%
0-0 @ 2.89%
3-3 @ 2.42%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-1 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 3.72%
0-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.5%
3-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.22%

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