SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 57.99%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Reading Under-23s |
| 57.99% | 20.88% | 21.13% |
| Both teams to score 60.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% | 36.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.23% | 58.77% |
| Aston Villa Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% | 12.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.57% | 38.43% |
| Reading Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% | 30.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.19% | 66.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Under-23s | Draw | Reading Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 6.8% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.54% 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.88% | 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.81% Total : 21.13% |
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