Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.7%) and 1-3 (5.6%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.