Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.66%) and 0-2 (4.94%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
