SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
52.76% ( -0.2) | 22.47% ( -0.04) | 24.77% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.39) | 39.85% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( 0.4) | 62.21% ( -0.4) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.07) | 15.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 0.13) | 43.8% ( -0.13) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.39) | 29.31% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( 0.48) | 65.28% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 52.76% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.77% |
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