SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 1-3 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
18.27% ( -3.91) | 18.81% ( -1.78) | 62.91% ( 5.68) |
| Both teams to score 63.42% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.03% ( 2.81) | 30.97% ( -2.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.65% ( 3.26) | 52.35% ( -3.26) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( -1.88) | 29.92% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% ( -2.33) | 66.03% ( 2.33) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( 2.29) | 9.5% ( -2.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.15% ( 5.13) | 31.85% ( -5.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.84) 1-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.77)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.6)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.46)Other @ 3.65% Total : 18.27% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.91) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.46)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.81% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 7.46% ( 0.61)0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.79)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 4.39% ( 0.73)0-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.76)2-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.32)1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0.5)0-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.48)2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.25)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.95% Total : 62.91% |
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