SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.28%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
42.65% ( -3.33) | 21.28% ( 0.14) | 36.08% ( 3.2) |
| Both teams to score 72.01% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.84% ( 0.34) | 27.16% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.31% ( 0.42) | 47.69% ( -0.41) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -0.96) | 13.88% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.71% ( -1.95) | 41.29% ( 1.95) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( 1.6) | 16.39% ( -1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( 2.81) | 46.03% ( -2.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.4)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.26)4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.94% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.28)0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.22)3-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.56% Total : 36.08% |
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