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Premier League 2 - Div 2 | Gameweek 5
Oct 16, 2021 at 12pm UK
 

Birmingham U23s
1 - 2
Villa U23s

Castillo (87')
Simmonds (42'), Masampu (90'), Walker (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Firth (9', 26')
Iroegbunam (33'), Lindley (90+1'), Ramsey (90+5')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Birmingham City Under-23s and Aston Villa Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City Under-23sDrawAston Villa Under-23s
46.3%21.36%32.34%
Both teams to score 70.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.16%28.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.22%49.78%
Birmingham City Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68%13.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83%40.17%
Aston Villa Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.38%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Under-23s 46.3%
    Aston Villa Under-23s 32.34%
    Draw 21.36%
Birmingham City Under-23sDrawAston Villa Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 5.11%
1-0 @ 5.07%
3-2 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-3 @ 1.34%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 7.1%
3-3 @ 2.65%
0-0 @ 2.52%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.94%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-4 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 1.63%
3-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.34%

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