Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 58.51%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 3-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough Under-23s in this match.
