Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.45%) and 0-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
