Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Reading Under-23s win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton Under-23s in this match.
