Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
