Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Norwich City Under-23s had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.