Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.