Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 1-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
