Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
