Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.36%) and 3-1 (4.84%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.