Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
