SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 32.41% | 23.74% | 43.84% |
| Both teams to score 61.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% | 40.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Sunderland Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41% | 59% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% | 18.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.7% | 50.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.41% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-1 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.1% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.43% Total : 43.84% |
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