SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-23s |
| 31.3% | 23.32% | 45.39% |
| Both teams to score 62.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Stoke City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% | 24.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.13% | 58.87% |
| Nottingham Forest Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% | 17.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.84% | 48.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-23s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.93% Total : 45.39% |
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