Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.