Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Sunderland Under-23s win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.