SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Stoke City Under-21s | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest Under-21s | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| 11 | Derby County Under-21s | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 85.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 4-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
85.9% ( -0.06) | 9.14% ( -0.03) | 4.96% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.12% ( 0.66) | 20.88% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.92) | 39.34% ( -0.92) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.73% ( 0.09) | 3.26% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.57% ( 0.33) | 14.43% ( -0.33) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.53% ( 0.93) | 45.46% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.69% ( 0.72) | 81.3% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 3-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.1)6-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.08)7-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)7-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)6-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.64% Total : 85.9% | 1-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.96% Total : 9.14% | 1-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 4.96% |
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