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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
42.92% ( -0.03) | 24.19% ( 0.29) | 32.89% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -1.47) | 42.59% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -1.48) | 65% ( 1.48) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% ( -0.62) | 20.03% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( -1.01) | 52.24% ( 1.01) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.85) | 25.16% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( -1.19) | 59.88% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.89% |
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