Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
