Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.