Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
0 - 3
Liverpool

Magalhaes (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jota (64', 82'), Salah (68')
Jota (73')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Liverpool
25.3%	24.04%	50.65%

Both teams to score 55.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55%

46.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27%

68.73%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.57%

32.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.06%

68.94%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5%

49.5%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 25.3%

Liverpool 50.65%

Draw 24.04%

Arsenal	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.3%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 5.96% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 8.55% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.65%